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Red45
164618.4
317621.7
102415.6
Blue34
174113.5
458011.3
745420.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513701020304060704534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.3
15.414.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End3.0
red by 1.1
20.60.1
13.513.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Second
1646
#17
18.41.3
13.211.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 4.9
1741
#16
13.50.1
12.112.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End4.0
Third
1024
#31
15.61.3
19.418.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 4.3
4580
#34
11.30.1
9.08.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed