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Red56
318011.4
101814.4
172020.2
Blue35
672112.2
15299.9
386513.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393802060801005635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.0
15.816.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End5.8
red by 7.0
3865
#30
13.20.1
9.29.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Second
1018
#35
14.41.0
12.113.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End1.9
red by 2.2
6721
#13
12.20.1
13.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Third
3180
#37
11.41.0
9.010.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End1.2
red by 1.5
1529
#36
9.90.1
13.013.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed