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Red27
649816.7
747710.4
750216.4
Blue29
290911.3
219715.2
44716.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363925303545502729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6498
#22
16.70.8
16.015.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 0.1
447
#26
16.80.9
16.315.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Second
7502
#23
16.40.8
12.211.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End3.1
red by 1.2
2197
#28
15.20.9
10.910.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
7477
#39
10.40.8
6.45.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End3.4
blue by 0.9
2909
#40
11.30.9
9.78.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed