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Red49
386513.2
101814.4
394719.9
Blue43
769514.0
290911.3
410320.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393802060801004943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#11
19.91.4
15.817.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.0
blue by 0.4
4103
#15
20.30.8
17.117.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Second
1018
#35
14.41.4
12.213.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End1.9
red by 0.4
7695
#42
14.00.8
9.910.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Third
3865
#30
13.21.4
8.910.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 1.9
2909
#40
11.30.8
8.89.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed