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Red32
548421.2
386513.2
747710.4
Blue44
155511.1
672112.2
286720.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142102050603244

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#20
21.20.3
11.611.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 1.1
2867
#24
20.20.2
17.617.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Second
3865
#30
13.20.3
9.49.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 1.0
6721
#13
12.20.2
12.612.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Third
7477
#39
10.40.3
8.28.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End3.4
blue by 0.7
1555
#38
11.10.2
9.39.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed