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Red32
286720.2
318011.4
15299.9
Blue43
46120.2
29215.9
750216.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43501020306070803243

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#24
20.21.0
19.518.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 0.1
461
#9
20.21.0
19.118.2
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Second
3180
#37
11.41.0
12.511.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End1.2
blue by 5.0
7502
#23
16.41.0
13.612.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Third
1529
#36
9.91.0
8.77.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 6.0
292
#19
15.91.0
15.014.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed