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Red41
769514.0
102415.6
394719.9
Blue46
393612.3
672112.2
427222.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446204060804146

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#11
19.90.9
20.219.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.0
blue by 2.1
22.00.2
19.419.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End4.4
Second
1024
#31
15.60.9
16.615.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 3.3
3936
#32
12.30.2
11.511.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Third
7695
#42
14.00.9
14.313.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End3.0
red by 1.8
6721
#13
12.20.2
12.813.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed