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Red41
745420.6
219715.2
695614.7
Blue13
44716.8
318011.4
386513.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3844203050604113

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.611.8
22.410.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 3.8
447
#26
16.83.1
15.212.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Second
2197
#28
15.20.5
13.413.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
red by 2.0
3865
#30
13.23.1
12.79.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Third
6956
#25
14.70.5
13.013.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End4.3
red by 3.3
3180
#37
11.43.1
13.410.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed