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Red59
386513.2
29215.9
317621.7
Blue57
719817.4
747710.4
46120.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45453035405055605957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.3
18.419.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End3.0
red by 1.5
461
#9
20.21.2
18.219.4
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Second
292
#19
15.91.3
14.115.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 1.4
7198
#18
17.41.2
15.116.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End5.3
Third
3865
#30
13.21.3
10.611.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 2.8
7477
#39
10.41.2
8.910.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed