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Red51
150126.1
82921.0
174113.5
Blue57
394719.9
765714.4
219715.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64482040801005157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.8
25.724.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.8
End8.5
red by 6.3
3947
#11
19.90.9
19.320.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Second
829
#12
21.00.8
21.320.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End6.0
red by 5.7
2197
#28
15.20.9
13.614.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
1741
#16
13.50.8
13.512.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End4.0
blue by 0.8
7657
#29
14.40.9
12.613.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed