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Red65
386513.2
750216.4
164618.4
Blue57
102415.6
82921.0
394024.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4660203040507080906557

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#17
18.41.3
17.919.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.3
End2.1
blue by 5.8
3940
#10
24.20.0
21.221.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
Second
7502
#23
16.41.3
14.215.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 4.5
829
#12
21.00.0
20.520.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End6.0
Third
3865
#30
13.21.3
11.913.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 2.4
1024
#31
15.60.0
14.814.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsMissed