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Red79
174724.4
86825.7
393613.3
Blue71
695619.9
4519.5
719819.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68612040801007971

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
25.70.4
26.126.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End6.7
red by 5.8
6956
#20
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End3.8
Second
1747
#14
24.40.3
24.825.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End2.4
red by 4.9
7198
#30
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End5.9
Third
3936
#28
13.30.3
13.714.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 6.1
45
#10
19.50.3
19.219.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.3