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Red65
4519.5
540217.5
745420.6
Blue54
498216.2
540315.7
219718.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574930406070806554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7454
#18
20.60.6
19.620.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 2.2
2197
#19
18.40.5
16.316.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Second
45
#10
19.50.6
19.219.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.3
red by 3.3
4982
#31
16.20.5
13.914.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Third
5402
#22
17.50.9
15.015.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
red by 1.7
5403
#36
15.70.8
16.617.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed