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Red67
761715.6
46126.4
101818.1
Blue30
518817.0
349418.4
314713.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551304060706730

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#11
26.40.8
21.522.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 8.0
3494
#13
18.41.2
17.216.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.9
Second
1018
#12
18.10.8
17.218.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4
red by 1.2
5188
#25
17.02.0
15.113.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Third
7617
#21
15.61.3
13.214.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End5.0
red by 2.1
3147
#26
13.41.2
15.514.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsMissed