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Red65
501021.7
349418.4
719819.5
Blue46
540217.5
219718.4
86825.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54632040801006546

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#15
21.71.5
16.818.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
blue by 4.0
868
#1
25.71.6
24.422.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Second
7198
#30
19.50.9
19.320.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End5.9
red by 1.1
2197
#19
18.40.9
18.017.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Third
3494
#13
18.40.9
15.416.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.9
red by 0.9
5402
#22
17.51.6
17.616.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed