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Red43
765715.6
101818.1
540315.7
Blue58
501021.7
492620.9
46126.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4650102030406070804358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#12
18.10.1
14.414.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 8.3
461
#11
26.40.3
20.220.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
5403
#36
15.70.1
15.115.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 5.9
5010
#15
21.70.5
13.814.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Third
7657
#39
15.60.1
14.414.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End3.2
blue by 5.3
20.90.5
13.714.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed