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Red65
7127.7
314713.4
400812.0
Blue43
518817.0
649819.5
393613.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54472030406070806543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#2
27.70.1
27.127.0
Auto3.4
Teleop15.9
End8.4
red by 8.2
6498
#29
19.50.3
18.718.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End4.9
Second
3147
#26
13.40.1
13.313.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End5.3
blue by 3.5
5188
#25
17.00.5
14.313.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Third
4008
#35
12.00.2
10.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 1.3
3936
#28
13.30.3
11.811.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed