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Red51
761715.6
501021.7
649819.5
Blue59
393613.3
745420.6
172027.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596340507080905159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#15
21.70.5
21.020.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
blue by 5.6
27.30.1
26.926.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End8.5
Second
6498
#29
19.50.3
17.817.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End4.9
blue by 1.2
7454
#18
20.60.1
21.421.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Third
7617
#21
15.60.5
16.916.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End5.0
red by 2.2
3936
#28
13.30.1
11.511.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsMissed