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Red86
164622.4
219718.4
427225.7
Blue56
394025.7
518817.0
217113.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66564050607080908656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.9
24.124.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End3.6
blue by 0.1
25.70.2
25.926.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
Second
1646
#23
22.40.9
20.921.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 5.5
5188
#25
17.00.2
14.815.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Third
2197
#19
18.40.9
17.818.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End4.9
red by 5.3
2171
#33
13.10.2
12.813.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed54%HAB Docking oddsEarned