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Red39
386513.2
695619.9
765715.6
Blue42
314713.4
540217.5
540315.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5251404555603942

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#20
19.90.7
18.317.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End3.8
red by 2.5
5402
#22
17.50.5
18.317.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
Second
7657
#39
15.60.7
15.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End3.2
blue by 0.1
5403
#36
15.70.5
16.816.2
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Third
3865
#38
13.20.7
15.314.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 0.3
3147
#26
13.40.4
13.112.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed