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Red54
174724.4
393613.3
448514.7
Blue44
400812.0
498216.2
501021.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5450304060705444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#14
24.40.2
24.925.0
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End2.4
red by 2.7
5010
#15
21.70.2
19.419.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
4485
#34
14.70.2
14.514.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 1.5
4982
#31
16.20.2
16.316.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Third
3936
#28
13.30.2
12.212.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 1.3
4008
#35
12.00.2
11.210.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed