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Red69
394025.7
74779.5
745724.8
Blue57
765715.6
761715.6
745420.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60533040507080906957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.8
24.825.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
red by 5.1
7454
#18
20.60.4
20.220.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Second
24.80.9
23.724.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 9.1
7657
#39
15.60.4
15.215.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Third
7477
#37
9.50.8
8.79.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 6.1
7617
#21
15.60.5
15.015.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed