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Red56
540315.7
548424.0
348720.6
Blue50
386513.2
410325.0
217113.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6555304050607080901005650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#16
24.00.4
24.323.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End4.8
blue by 1.0
25.00.1
25.625.4
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End4.4
Second
3487
#24
20.60.4
21.020.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.3
End3.0
red by 7.4
3865
#38
13.20.1
13.313.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
5403
#36
15.70.4
16.115.7
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End1.3
red by 2.6
2171
#33
13.10.1
13.313.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed