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Red0
13529.5
7127.7
540217.5
Blue91
427225.7
745724.8
349418.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79730204060100091

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#7DQ
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End7.1
red by 3.8
25.70.5
25.726.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End3.6
Second
71
#2DQ
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.9
End8.4
red by 2.9
24.80.5
24.725.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Third
5402
#22DQ
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.3
blue by 0.9
3494
#13
18.40.5
18.318.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End4.9