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Red108
1690B32.8
169042.8
610416.4
Blue73
157429.8
263024.8
194319.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9678406012010873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.4
42.442.8
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End8.6
red by 13.0
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto7.2
Teleop18.4
End4.1
Second
32.80.5
32.232.8
Auto8.0
Teleop18.1
End6.6
red by 8.0
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End6.5
Third
6104
#28
16.40.4
16.016.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 3.4
1943
#14
19.70.0
19.819.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.1