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Red64
321119.3
193726.9
194319.7
Blue58
331619.5
221219.4
458620.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706440506080901006458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.1
26.125.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End7.7
red by 6.5
4586
#26
20.40.8
21.720.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End4.3
Second
1943
#14
19.70.1
19.018.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.1
red by 0.3
3316
#20
19.50.8
19.218.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Third
3211
#17
19.30.1
21.020.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End5.0
Level
2212
#23
19.40.8
19.618.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed