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Red62
157727.5
1574B13.6
331619.5
Blue90
784517.5
169042.8
307517.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6580020401001201406290

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
27.50.0
29.129.1
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End7.3
blue by 15.3
42.81.0
38.339.3
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End8.6
Second
3316
#20
19.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.0
red by 1.8
3075
#18
17.61.0
17.918.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Third
13.60.0
14.314.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 3.9
7845
#19
17.51.0
19.220.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
26%Rocket oddsMissed27%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned