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Red83
157727.5
194319.7
459019.3
Blue38
333919.5
561422.7
267912.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686130405080901008338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
27.51.3
27.128.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End7.3
red by 4.7
22.71.3
23.021.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End4.2
Second
1943
#14
19.71.3
18.619.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.1
red by 0.2
3339
#16
19.51.3
21.119.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Third
4590
#25
19.31.3
18.319.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End4.0
red by 6.6
2679
#27
12.71.3
14.012.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned57%HAB Docking oddsMissed