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Red70
221219.4
263024.8
194220.0
Blue63
331619.5
209627.4
333919.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627302040801001201407063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.7
23.424.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End6.5
blue by 2.6
27.40.4
23.823.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
Second
1942
#12
20.00.7
16.417.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End6.2
red by 0.5
3339
#16
19.50.4
25.224.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Third
2212
#23
19.40.7
19.420.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.7
End2.8
blue by 0.1
3316
#20
19.50.4
19.719.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned