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Red58
99969.3
263024.8
223131.5
Blue54
194319.7
784517.5
1574B13.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6054203040507080905854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.1
27.927.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.0
End6.3
red by 11.8
1943
#14
19.70.2
19.019.2
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.1
Second
24.80.1
24.224.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End6.5
red by 7.3
7845
#19
17.50.2
19.019.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End2.7
Third
9996
#22
9.30.1
5.15.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 4.3
13.60.3
13.413.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed