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Red100
335729.9
33031.9
216832.5
Blue91
749827.8
124126.9
477629.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96932040608012014016018010091

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.6
31.532.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.7
End4.7
red by 3.1
4776
#39
29.40.0
30.330.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.6
Second
330
#10
31.90.6
32.833.4
Auto5.1
Teleop21.3
End5.4
red by 4.1
7498
#55
27.80.0
29.029.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End2.9
Third
3357
#11
29.90.6
26.326.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End4.4
red by 3.0
1241
#27
26.90.0
28.828.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
92%Rocket oddsEarned65%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsEarned