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Red70
477629.4
501025.0
19529.3
Blue92
551124.2
384726.3
111435.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949470808590957092

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#39
29.41.3
30.329.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.6
blue by 5.7
35.10.2
37.838.0
Auto5.2
Teleop22.9
End6.9
Second
195
#18
29.31.3
31.029.8
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End5.9
red by 3.0
3847
#29
26.30.2
26.826.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Third
5010
#57
25.01.3
27.926.6
Auto4.8
Teleop17.4
End2.8
red by 0.8
5511
#30
24.20.2
24.624.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
86%Rocket oddsMissed69%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned