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Red101
205637.6
246828.0
745723.8
Blue61
394024.7
276729.9
46122.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928805015010161

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.9
39.540.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End8.0
red by 7.7
2767
#14
29.91.5
34.232.7
Auto4.4
Teleop16.0
End9.5
Second
2468
#32
28.00.9
24.225.1
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End5.8
red by 3.4
3940
#38
24.71.5
25.624.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End5.7
Third
7457
#44
23.80.9
23.824.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End6.3
red by 1.8
461
#56
22.01.5
23.221.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
80%Rocket oddsEarned37%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
100%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned