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Red98
460726.7
246828.0
520529.2
Blue86
436233.7
171818.7
167628.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899070801001109886

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#54
29.20.9
28.929.8
Auto5.6
Teleop17.9
End5.6
blue by 4.5
4362
#36
33.70.6
33.733.1
Auto4.6
Teleop24.6
End4.4
Second
2468
#32
28.00.9
27.928.8
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End5.8
blue by 0.3
1676
#50
28.30.6
29.028.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.9
End5.5
Third
4607
#20
26.70.9
28.329.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.3
End4.0
red by 8.1
1718
#61
18.70.6
21.821.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
28%Rocket oddsEarned89%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned82%HAB Docking oddsEarned