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Red111
34031.5
205637.6
335729.9
Blue87
384726.3
519029.0
580125.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10582406012014011187

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.0
40.440.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End8.0
red by 8.6
5190
#58
29.00.6
27.628.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End7.4
Second
340
#23
31.50.0
31.231.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.8
End6.6
red by 5.2
3847
#29
26.30.6
26.427.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Third
3357
#11
29.90.0
27.827.8
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End4.4
red by 4.1
5801
#53
25.80.6
24.024.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
94%Rocket oddsEarned25%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned