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Red84
291038.4
4824.7
460726.7
Blue62
364127.9
5124.9
644327.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104874060801201408462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#16
38.41.1
41.740.5
Auto5.8
Teleop26.7
End5.9
red by 10.5
3641
#47
27.91.6
31.630.1
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Second
4607
#20
26.71.1
29.328.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.3
End4.0
blue by 0.7
6443
#34
27.41.6
25.924.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End9.5
Third
48
#19
24.71.1
27.226.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.8
End6.7
blue by 0.3
51
#51
24.91.6
24.823.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
54%Rocket oddsMissed40%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned