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Red110
360423.8
436233.7
233726.1
Blue73
107316.3
291038.4
426524.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8488406010012014011073

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#36
33.71.4
32.233.7
Auto4.6
Teleop24.6
End4.4
blue by 4.7
2910
#16
38.40.9
40.539.6
Auto5.8
Teleop26.7
End5.9
Second
2337
#52
26.11.4
24.726.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End6.7
red by 1.5
4265
#26
24.60.9
25.424.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.1
End3.5
Third
3604
#15
23.81.4
22.423.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 7.5
1073
#68
16.30.9
17.016.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
35%Rocket oddsMissed29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsMissed