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Red90
307523.9
433827.5
599014.6
Blue77
703920.5
209620.9
565414.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71592040801009077

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
28.028.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
red by 6.7
20.90.3
21.121.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Second
23.90.1
24.424.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 3.4
20.50.3
20.721.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Third
5990
#25
14.60.1
15.115.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 0.4
5654
#28
14.20.3
14.414.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7