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Red70
307523.9
433827.5
599014.6
Blue41
703920.5
209620.9
565414.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71602040801007041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
27.927.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End9.5
red by 6.7
20.90.3
21.220.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Second
23.90.1
24.224.3
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 3.4
20.50.3
20.820.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Third
5990
#25
14.60.1
14.915.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 0.4
5654
#28
14.20.3
14.514.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7