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Red74
303420.4
306518.3
221219.4
Blue58
595123.5
717717.7
263023.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597130405080901007458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3034
#16
20.41.2
17.518.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End4.4
blue by 3.1
5951
#23
23.50.6
22.722.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Second
2212
#19
19.41.2
18.820.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 4.1
2630
#36
23.40.6
21.821.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Third
3065
#17
18.31.2
19.420.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
red by 0.6
7177
#40
17.70.6
22.421.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned