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Red55
674013.9
610421.6
165715.9
Blue50
513512.2
169030.7
565414.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51572030407080905550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#11
21.60.2
21.120.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.6
blue by 9.1
30.70.5
27.126.6
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End7.7
Second
1657
#24
15.90.2
15.215.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
red by 1.8
5654
#28
14.20.5
12.111.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Third
6740
#35
13.90.2
12.112.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 1.7
5135
#43
12.20.5
14.814.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed76%HAB Docking oddsEarned