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Red49
221219.4
513512.2
165715.9
Blue57
610421.6
157312.9
529116.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5255204060801004957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#19
19.40.7
20.019.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 2.3
6104
#11
21.60.3
20.920.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.7
End4.6
Second
1657
#24
15.90.7
15.114.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
blue by 0.9
5291
#32
16.90.3
18.918.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Third
5135
#43Sur
12.20.7
14.413.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 0.7
1573
#44
12.90.3
12.412.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed