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Red65
157312.9
209620.9
307523.9
Blue74
193725.8
459018.9
263023.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54632040801006574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.7
19.420.1
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
blue by 1.9
25.80.9
21.822.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
20.90.7
19.420.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
blue by 2.6
2630
#36
23.40.9
21.822.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Third
1573
#44
12.90.7
12.112.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 6.0
4590
#22
18.90.9
16.317.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned