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Red61
157419.8
169030.7
673612.2
Blue54
674119.1
565414.2
331619.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6655204060801006154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.5
29.128.6
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End7.7
red by 11.0
3316
#37
19.70.1
21.421.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.5
Second
1574
#10
19.80.5
19.719.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 0.7
6741
#18
19.10.1
18.818.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.6
Third
6736
#26
12.20.5
13.513.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End5.1
blue by 1.9
5654
#28
14.20.1
12.312.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
23%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsMissed