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Red65
223125.7
223017.3
565414.2
Blue51
561418.0
529116.9
474423.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53642040801006551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#14
25.71.0
20.621.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 2.1
4744
#27
23.60.6
23.222.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End3.6
Second
2230
#33
17.31.0
16.617.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End4.4
blue by 0.7
5614
#34
18.00.6
19.719.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
5654
#28
14.21.0
12.913.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End3.7
blue by 2.7
5291
#32
16.90.6
17.216.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed