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Red54
331619.7
595123.5
673612.2
Blue48
711212.3
458624.4
165715.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61482030407080901005448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#23
23.50.7
24.123.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End5.5
blue by 0.9
4586
#15
24.40.2
23.523.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End5.2
Second
3316
#37
19.70.7
21.020.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End4.5
red by 3.8
1657
#24
15.90.2
13.814.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.4
Third
6736
#26
12.20.7
12.612.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End5.1
blue by 0.1
7112
#42
12.30.2
8.38.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned