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Red76
673820.3
503820.8
221219.4
Blue70
321123.2
193725.8
563518.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61692040801007670

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#30
20.81.2
20.321.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End6.2
blue by 5.0
25.80.3
24.023.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
20.31.2
18.019.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End5.7
blue by 2.9
23.20.3
21.521.2
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End7.0
Third
2212
#19
19.41.2
19.520.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End1.6
red by 1.3
5635
#21
18.10.3
19.619.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed92%HAB Docking oddsEarned