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Red60
223125.7
513512.2
717717.7
Blue47
209620.9
503820.8
673612.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6350102030407080906047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#14
25.70.2
22.121.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 4.8
20.90.0
16.116.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End2.9
Second
7177
#40
17.70.2
22.622.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End4.7
blue by 3.1
5038
#30
20.80.0
17.117.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
5135
#43
12.20.2
15.014.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 0.1
6736
#26
12.20.0
13.813.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed