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Red73
307523.9
561418.0
674119.1
Blue65
703920.5
711212.3
303420.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62542040801007365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.9
22.022.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 3.4
20.50.7
21.722.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Second
6741
#18
19.10.9
18.018.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.6
blue by 1.2
3034
#16
20.40.7
19.620.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End4.4
Third
5614
#34
18.00.9
18.919.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 5.7
7112
#42
12.30.7
10.311.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsMissed