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Red59
306518.3
529116.9
193725.8
Blue48
503820.8
674119.1
513512.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65562040801005948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
25.925.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End8.1
red by 5.0
5038
#30
20.80.3
20.720.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Second
3065
#17
18.30.2
19.118.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End5.1
blue by 0.8
6741
#18
19.10.3
19.519.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.6
Third
5291
#32
16.90.2
17.116.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 4.7
5135
#43
12.20.3
12.512.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsMissed